Cost Guessing Bias

Devinette

Parties jouées 27

Créer une copie

À propos de cette activité

A bias that makes forecasts look sunnier than reality

Créé par

Hathaway Heart

United States

Téléchargez la version pour jouer sur papier

Top 10 résultats

#	Jeux	Précision	temps
1	Hathaway Heart 8 Mars 2026	% 100	01:01
2	Zoey 11 Mars 2026	% 60	02:05

Voulez-vous apparaître dans le Top 10 de ce jeu? Connectez-vous pour vous identifier.

Créez votre propre jeu gratuite à partir de notre créateur de jeu

Affrontez vos amis pour voir qui obtient le meilleur score dans ce jeu

Créer un défi

The gold riddle

Cody Nakajima

United States

(4)

On your quest you find 3 treasure chests. 1 chest is the gold chest. You need to find the gold chest. But the wrong chests has a deadly gas. And to make matters worse all of the chests look identical....
GUESS, GUESSER...

Esteban PedrazaEnciso

Colombia

(10)

¡ I guess the tracks who it is and have fun...!
Brain Game 2

Kecia Hopper

United States

(8)

Brain teasers
Fantastic creatures

Educaplay Educational Resources

Spain

(172)

Guess them using as few clues as possible
Words About Words Vocabulary 6c

Ginger Jantz

United States

(13)

Words used to discuss words and writing


Cost Guessing BiasVersion en ligne A bias that makes forecasts look sunnier than reality par Hathaway Heart 1 I am a bias that makes the future look rosier than it will be, nudging numbers toward brighter sums and dreams. What am I? Hints 1 Governance efforts try to curb my influence. 2 It tends to underestimate real costs. 3 I often show up at the start of a project’s budget. 2 One estimate alone can be misleading, so I gather different voices and viewpoints. From models, data, and other sources I compare, until the truth begins to appear. What technique am I? Hints 1 Often used with multiple data points or models. 2 Helps counter single-source estimation errors. 3 Involves cross-checking from different angles. 3 I’m the past you paid for, the cost you cannot undo. Smart decision-makers learn to ignore me. What am I? Hints 1 Ignore it to avoid bias in planning. 2 Decisions should be based on future costs and benefits, not this. 3 It represents money already spent. 4 I’ve never been done before, so there’s no history to guide me. Instead, planners search for similar work and estimate by comparison. What type of project am I? Hints 1 Solved by estimation of analogy 2 A project that has no similar previous projects to reference. 3 One of a kind 5 Estimation by looking at similar past projects and then adjusting for differences is a common method. What approach is this? Hints 1 Often paired with explicit updates or benchmarks. 2 Requires adjustments for scale, scope, or context. 3 Uses past projects as a reference point.

Cost Guessing BiasVersion en ligne

A bias that makes forecasts look sunnier than reality

par Hathaway Heart

I am a bias that makes the future look rosier than it will be, nudging numbers toward brighter sums and dreams. What am I?

Hints

Governance efforts try to curb my influence.

It tends to underestimate real costs.

I often show up at the start of a project’s budget.

One estimate alone can be misleading, so I gather different voices and viewpoints. From models, data, and other sources I compare, until the truth begins to appear. What technique am I?

Hints

Often used with multiple data points or models.

Helps counter single-source estimation errors.

Involves cross-checking from different angles.

I’m the past you paid for, the cost you cannot undo. Smart decision-makers learn to ignore me. What am I?

Hints

Ignore it to avoid bias in planning.

Decisions should be based on future costs and benefits, not this.

It represents money already spent.

I’ve never been done before, so there’s no history to guide me. Instead, planners search for similar work and estimate by comparison. What type of project am I?

Hints

Solved by estimation of analogy

A project that has no similar previous projects to reference.

One of a kind

Estimation by looking at similar past projects and then adjusting for differences is a common method. What approach is this?

Hints

Often paired with explicit updates or benchmarks.

Requires adjustments for scale, scope, or context.

Uses past projects as a reference point.

Vous pouvez intégrer le jeu dans un LMS compatible avec LTI 1.1 ou LTI 1.3 comme Canvas, Moodle ou Blackboard. Les scores seront ainsi automatiquement enregistrés dans le carnet de notes de la plateforme.

Cost Guessing Bias

Devinette

À propos de cette activité

Créé par

Téléchargez la version pour jouer sur papier

Top Jeux

Devinette

The gold riddle

Devinette

GUESS, GUESSER...

Devinette

Brain Game 2

Devinette

Fantastic creatures

Devinette

Words About Words Vocabulary 6c

Cost Guessing BiasVersion en ligne

par Hathaway Heart

I am a bias that makes the future look rosier than it will be, nudging numbers toward brighter sums and dreams. What am I?

Hints

One estimate alone can be misleading, so I gather different voices and viewpoints. From models, data, and other sources I compare, until the truth begins to appear. What technique am I?

Hints

I’m the past you paid for, the cost you cannot undo. Smart decision-makers learn to ignore me. What am I?

Hints

I’ve never been done before, so there’s no history to guide me. Instead, planners search for similar work and estimate by comparison. What type of project am I?

Hints

Estimation by looking at similar past projects and then adjusting for differences is a common method. What approach is this?

Hints

		%
	Anonyme	%
		%
		%